Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Dover played?

Folkestone Invicta vs Dover is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Folkestone Invicta vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent

Folkestone Invicta

Dover

The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Dover. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Dover?

Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,722).

Folkestone Invicta win67 %

Draw20 %

Dover win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Folkestone Invicta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chelmsford City(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Maidstone Utd(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	5-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Welling United(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Sutton Utd(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Folkestone Invicta win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Dover win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 5, 2024	Folkestone Invicta 0-1 Dover	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 13, 2024	Dover 2-3 Folkestone Invicta	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 15, 2023	Dover 2-1 Folkestone Invicta	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2021	Dover 2-1 Folkestone Invicta	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Folkestone Invicta vs Dover on Nov 5, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Folkestone Invicta	2.1	1.5	3	11/15	8/15
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Folkestone Invicta sit 12th in National League - South (5 points from 3 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
12	Folkestone Invicta	3	1	2	0	7	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Dover?: The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Dover.
Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Dover played?: Folkestone Invicta vs Dover is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.