Folkestone Invicta vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folkestone Invicta wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Dover?
Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folkestone Invicta vs Dover
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folkestone Invicta
Not enough data to predict the Folkestone Invicta lineup.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Dover have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Folkestone Invicta win, 0 draws, 4 Dover wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dover 4-2 Folkestone Invicta | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Folkestone Invicta 0-1 Dover | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Dover 2-3 Folkestone Invicta | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Dover 2-1 Folkestone Invicta | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Dover 2-1 Folkestone Invicta | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dover vs Folkestone Invicta on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Folkestone Invicta score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folkestone Invicta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folkestone Invicta sit 15th in National League - South (13 points from 11 matches) and Dover sit 8th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Folkestone Invicta vs Dover?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Dover?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Dover.
- Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Dover played?
- Folkestone Invicta vs Dover is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Maidstone UtdvsBillericay Town
- Dec 26, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Dec 26, 2026Slough TownvsMaidenhead
- Dec 26, 2026Chelmsford CityvsBraintree
- Dec 26, 2026Truro CityvsTorquay
- Dec 26, 2026FarnboroughvsFarnham Town
- Dec 26, 2026SalisburyvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 26, 2026Dorking WanderersvsHorsham