Truro City vs Torquay: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall
The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1. If Truro City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,146 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Truro City vs Torquay?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Truro City (1,908) and Torquay (1,972).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Truro City vs Torquay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Truro City
4-3-3- 25S. Donnellan
- 37Tom Tweedy
- 21H. Greenslade
- 2Z. Bell
- 23B. Starkie
- 19J. Nunn
- 26M. Kinsey-Wellings
- 20R. Law
- 4W. Dean
- 5T. Harrison
- 1D. Lavercombe
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Torquay have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 3-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cirencester Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Truro City win, 0 draws, 5 Torquay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Truro City 0-1 Torquay | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Torquay 1-0 Truro City | National League - South |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Torquay 1-0 Truro City | FA Trophy |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Truro City 1-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Torquay 0-1 Truro City | National League - South |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Truro City 1-3 Torquay | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Torquay on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Truro City score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro City | 1.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Torquay | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Truro City sit 5th in National League - South (21 points from 11 matches) and Torquay sit 13th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Truro City vs Torquay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Torquay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Torquay.
- Where and when is Truro City vs Torquay played?
- Truro City vs Torquay is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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