Where and when is Truro City vs Torquay played?

Truro City vs Torquay is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Truro City vs Torquay: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall

Truro City

Torquay

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Truro City vs Torquay?

Torquay starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,748).

Truro City win34 %

Draw26 %

Torquay win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Torquay have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Truro City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Southampton U21(home)	2-1	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Chelmsford City(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	2-0	National League - South
Jul 25, 2026	Plymouth(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Torquay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Horsham(home)	1-1	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Exeter City(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Truro City win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Torquay win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2025	Truro City 0-1 Torquay	National League - South
Jan 1, 2025	Torquay 1-0 Truro City	National League - South
Nov 16, 2024	Torquay 1-0 Truro City	FA Trophy
Apr 8, 2024	Truro City 1-2 Torquay	National League - South
Dec 26, 2023	Torquay 0-1 Truro City	National League - South
Jul 30, 2022	Truro City 1-3 Torquay	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Torquay on Apr 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Truro City	1.0	0.6	7	4/15	3/15
Torquay	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Torquay sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Truro City	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
13	Torquay	4	1	2	1	3	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Torquay?: The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Truro City.
Where and when is Truro City vs Torquay played?: Truro City vs Torquay is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.