Match

Dorking Wanderers vs Horsham: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey

Dorking WanderersHorsham

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Horsham?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,843) and Horsham (1,816).

Dorking Wanderers win53 %
Draw25 %
Horsham win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Horsham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Horsham 3-0 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Dec 26, 2025Dorking Wanderers 2-0 HorshamNational League - South
Sep 14, 2024Horsham 1-0 Dorking WanderersFA Cup
Oct 14, 2023Horsham 2-0 Dorking WanderersFA Cup
Jul 25, 2023Dorking Wanderers 1-1 HorshamFriendlies Clubs
Jul 10, 2021Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HorshamFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15
Horsham1.21.255/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Horsham?
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Horsham.
Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Horsham played?
Dorking Wanderers vs Horsham is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dorking Wanderers and Horsham

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