Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 21Kick-off on December 7, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,874) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chelmsford City win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Chelmsford City | FA Trophy |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Chelmsford City 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on December 7, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 8, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsDorking Wanderers
- Dec 8, 2026DovervsBillericay Town
- Dec 8, 2026MaidenheadvsTruro City
- Dec 8, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsSlough Town
- Dec 8, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsSalisbury
- Dec 8, 2026Chesham UnitedvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 8, 2026AFC TottonvsFarnham Town
- Dec 8, 2026HorshamvsTorquay