Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 21Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and Weston-super-Mare (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Weston-super-Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chesham United 4-0 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Chesham United 1-2 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Chesham United 1-1 Weston-super-Mare | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Weston-super-Mare.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare played?
- Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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