Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 21Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Weston-super-Mare wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,158 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,692) and Weston-super-Mare (1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Weston-super-Mare
4-2-3-1- 22G. Robesten
- 3D. Bernard
- 12W. Dawes
- 15Emlyn Lewis
- 14Jason Pope
- 4Jacob Cane
- 2M. Smith
- 6S. Avery
- 21D. Martin
- 23Bak
- 1M. Harris
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 4-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 1-6 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chesham United win, 2 draws, 3 Weston-super-Mare wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chesham United 4-0 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Chesham United 1-2 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Chesham United 1-1 Weston-super-Mare | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 21st in National League - South (11 points from 15 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 13th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Weston-super-Mare | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 21 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 11 |
A question about Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare played?
- Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 7, 2026Chelmsford CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Dec 8, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsDorking Wanderers
- Dec 8, 2026DovervsBillericay Town
- Dec 8, 2026MaidenheadvsTruro City
- Dec 8, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsSlough Town
- Dec 8, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsSalisbury
- Dec 8, 2026AFC TottonvsFarnham Town
- Dec 8, 2026HorshamvsTorquay