Match

Horsham vs Torquay: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 21Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

HorshamTorquay

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Torquay?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Horsham (1,816) and Torquay (1,872).

Horsham win37 %
Draw27 %
Torquay win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Torquay have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Torquay win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Torquay 1-1 HorshamNational League - South
Mar 28, 2026Torquay 2-0 HorshamNational League - South
Aug 23, 2025Horsham 2-1 TorquayNational League - South
Dec 10, 2024Torquay 2-0 HorshamFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Horsham on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horsham1.21.255/157/15
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Torquay sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
13Torquay4121345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Torquay?
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Torquay.
Where and when is Horsham vs Torquay played?
Horsham vs Torquay is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Horsham and Torquay

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