Maidenhead vs Truro City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 21Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Truro City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Truro City?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,751) and Truro City (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maidenhead vs Truro City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maidenhead
4-3-3- AA. Pendlebury
- 27C. Hall
- 19D. Nkrumah
- 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
- 21J. Coley
- 36J. Johnson
- 22M. Welch-Hayes
- 19Owen Cochrane
- 28J. McMenemy
- AAlfie Calver
- 1J. van Stappershoef
Truro City
4-3-3- 25S. Donnellan
- 17Zyan Blake
- 22J. Stretton
- 23B. Starkie
- 19J. Nunn
- 7Y. En-Neyah
- 26M. Kinsey-Wellings
- 20R. Law
- 3C. Riley-Lowe
- 4W. Dean
- 1D. Lavercombe
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Truro City have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 4-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Maidenhead wins, 0 draws, 1 Truro City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City 2-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Maidenhead on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Truro City | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 19th in National League - South (15 points from 15 matches) and Truro City sit 3rd (30 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 30 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
A question about Maidenhead vs Truro City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Truro City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Truro City played?
- Maidenhead vs Truro City is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 7, 2026Chelmsford CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Dec 8, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsDorking Wanderers
- Dec 8, 2026DovervsBillericay Town
- Dec 8, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsSlough Town
- Dec 8, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsSalisbury
- Dec 8, 2026Chesham UnitedvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 8, 2026AFC TottonvsFarnham Town
- Dec 8, 2026HorshamvsTorquay