Chelmsford City vs Slough Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Slough Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Slough Town?
Chelmsford City starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Slough Town have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dover(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chelmsford City win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Slough Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Chelmsford City 2-0 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Slough Town 5-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Chelmsford City 3-1 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Slough Town 2-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Chelmsford City 1-1 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Slough Town 0-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Slough Town on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Slough Town score 1.5 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Slough Town | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Slough Town sit 23rd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Slough Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Slough Town.
- Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Slough Town played?
- Chelmsford City vs Slough Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsFolkestone Invicta
- Dec 5, 2026DovervsHemel Hempstead Town
- Dec 5, 2026MaidenheadvsBraintree
- Dec 5, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsTorquay
- Dec 5, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsFarnham Town
- Dec 5, 2026Chesham UnitedvsSalisbury
- Dec 5, 2026AFC TottonvsMaidstone Utd
- Dec 5, 2026FarnboroughvsTruro City