Where and when is Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?

Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

Dover

Hemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Hemel Hempstead Town starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,722).

Dover win29 %

Draw27 %

Hemel Hempstead Town win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Hemel Hempstead Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Salisbury(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Farnborough(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Chelmsford City(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	St Albans City(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dover win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Dover	National League - South
Jan 10, 2026	Dover 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Apr 6, 2024	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Dover	National League - South
Oct 21, 2023	Dover 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Jan 28, 2023	Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Dover	National League - South
Aug 27, 2022	Dover 4-0 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15
Hemel Hempstead Town	1.1	0.9	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hemel Hempstead Town	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town?: The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?: Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.