Match

Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab AI model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hemel Hempstead Town wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Dover (1,808) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,841).

33%29%38%
Dover winDrawHemel Hempstead Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Dover

Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.

Hemel Hempstead Town

4-3-3
  1. 16I. Noel-Williams
  2. 10Joseph White
  3. 23Trae Cook
  1. 7G. Williams
  2. 12Kyran Wiltshire
  3. 20Mauro Vilhete
  1. 3D. Dowrich
  2. 2Samuel Adenola
  3. 22Devante Stanley
  4. 15Mathew Achuba
  1. 1M. Johnson

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)1-1National League - South
Oct 3, 2026Hanwell Town(away)2-1FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026AFC Totton(home)2-0National League - South
Sep 19, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)4-2FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Farnborough(away)1-0National League - South
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-0National League - South
Sep 26, 2026Slough Town(away)2-0National League - South
Sep 22, 2026Wingate & Finchley(away)1-2FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)1-1FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)1-1National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dover wins, 3 draws, 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 DoverNational League - South
Jan 10, 2026Dover 1-2 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Apr 6, 2024Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 DoverNational League - South
Oct 21, 2023Dover 2-2 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Jan 28, 2023Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 DoverNational League - South
Aug 27, 2022Dover 4-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.81.539/158/15
Hemel Hempstead Town0.91.048/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 14th (14 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Dover11533181718
14Hemel Hempstead Town11353101014

A question about Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Dover vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dover and Hemel Hempstead Town

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