Match

Chesham United vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedSalisbury

The Footlab AI model makes Salisbury the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salisbury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,842) and Salisbury (1,911).

29%23%48%
Chesham United winDrawSalisbury win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Salisbury

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chesham United

Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.

Salisbury

4-3-3
  1. OO. Dore
  2. DD. Fitchett
  3. JJ. Hedges
  1. CC. Watts
  2. RR. Silva
  3. 8Lewis Brown
  1. 6Sido Jombati
  2. JJosh Sommerton
  3. TThomas Leggett
  4. BBrian Dutton
  1. 27R. Byrne

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Salisbury have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Chelmsford City(home)0-5National League - South
Oct 3, 2026Real Bedford(home)4-3FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-4National League - South
Sep 19, 2026Ware(home)7-2FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Horsham(away)4-1National League - South
Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Farnham Town(away)2-1National League - South
Oct 3, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)5-0FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)2-0National League - South
Sep 19, 2026Taunton Town(home)4-1FA Cup
Sep 15, 2026Truro City(away)1-0National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chesham United wins, 1 draw, 2 Salisbury wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Salisbury 1-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Nov 8, 2025Chesham United 0-1 SalisburyNational League - South
Feb 18, 2025Chesham United 2-2 SalisburyNational League - South
Dec 10, 2024Chesham United 2-3 SalisburyFA Trophy
Sep 3, 2024Salisbury 1-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Apr 6, 2024Chesham United 2-1 SalisburyNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Chesham United on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 2.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United2.02.229/1513/15
Salisbury2.30.877/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 19th in National League - South (10 points from 11 matches) and Salisbury sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Salisbury1163220821
19Chesham United11317162410

A question about Chesham United vs Salisbury?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Salisbury?
The Footlab AI model makes Salisbury the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Salisbury played?
Chesham United vs Salisbury is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesham United and Salisbury

Ready to know everything about football?