Where and when is Chesham United vs Salisbury played?

Chesham United vs Salisbury is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chesham United vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham United

Salisbury

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,788) and Salisbury (1,756).

Chesham United win49 %

Draw25 %

Salisbury win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Salisbury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Horsham(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hampton & Richmond(home)	5-0	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Havant & Wville(home)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Frome Town(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Salisbury win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Salisbury 1-2 Chesham United	National League - South
Nov 8, 2025	Chesham United 0-1 Salisbury	National League - South
Feb 18, 2025	Chesham United 2-2 Salisbury	National League - South
Dec 10, 2024	Chesham United 2-3 Salisbury	FA Trophy
Sep 3, 2024	Salisbury 1-2 Chesham United	National League - South
Apr 6, 2024	Chesham United 2-1 Salisbury	Non League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Chesham United on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15
Salisbury	2.3	1.3	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Salisbury sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Salisbury	3	1	1	1	6	2	4
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Salisbury?: The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Salisbury.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Salisbury played?: Chesham United vs Salisbury is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.