Match

Chelmsford City vs Torquay: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford CityTorquay

The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelmsford City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Torquay?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,796) and Torquay (1,821).

41%26%33%
Chelmsford City winDrawTorquay win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chelmsford City vs Torquay

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chelmsford City

Not enough data to predict the Chelmsford City lineup.

Torquay

Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Torquay have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Ebbsfleet United(home)2-2National League - South
Nov 7, 2026Farnborough(home)2-1National League - South
Nov 2, 2026Farnham Town(home)0-2National League - South
Oct 31, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-1National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Dover(away)1-0National League - South
Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)2-0National League - South
Oct 31, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Oct 27, 2026AFC Totton(away)0-1National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)1-1National League - South
Oct 17, 2026Oxford City(home)0-1FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chelmsford City wins, 1 draw, 2 Torquay wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Torquay 0-5 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Nov 29, 2025Chelmsford City 0-2 TorquayNational League - South
Feb 22, 2025Chelmsford City 3-2 TorquayNational League - South
Nov 2, 2024Torquay 2-2 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Dec 23, 2023Chelmsford City 2-0 TorquayNational League - South
Sep 9, 2023Torquay 2-1 Chelmsford CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chelmsford City on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City1.71.158/156/15
Torquay1.91.146/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 8th in National League - South (25 points from 16 matches) and Torquay sit 11th (23 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Chelmsford City165101251725
11Torquay15654241723

A question about Chelmsford City vs Torquay?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Torquay?
The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Torquay.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Torquay played?
Chelmsford City vs Torquay is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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