Match

Chelmsford City vs Torquay: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford CityTorquay

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Torquay?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,842) and Torquay (1,876).

Chelmsford City win43 %
Draw25 %
Torquay win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Torquay have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South
Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chelmsford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Torquay win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Torquay 0-5 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Nov 29, 2025Chelmsford City 0-2 TorquayNational League - South
Feb 22, 2025Chelmsford City 3-2 TorquayNational League - South
Nov 2, 2024Torquay 2-2 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Dec 23, 2023Chelmsford City 2-0 TorquayNational League - South
Sep 9, 2023Torquay 2-1 Chelmsford CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chelmsford City on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Torquay sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Torquay4121345
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Torquay?
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Torquay.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Torquay played?
Chelmsford City vs Torquay is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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