Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,816) and Weston-super-Mare (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Maidenhead win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Weston-super-Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Maidenhead 1-2 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Weston-super-Mare 0-3 Maidenhead | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Weston-super-Mare.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare played?
- Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsSalisbury
- Apr 24, 2027DovervsTruro City
- Apr 24, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsFarnham Town
- Apr 24, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsFolkestone Invicta
- Apr 24, 2027Chelmsford CityvsTorquay
- Apr 24, 2027Chesham UnitedvsMaidstone Utd
- Apr 24, 2027AFC TottonvsBraintree
- Apr 24, 2027FarnboroughvsDorking Wanderers