Match

Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadWeston-super-Mare

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,816) and Weston-super-Mare (1,834).

Maidenhead win45 %
Draw28 %
Weston-super-Mare win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Weston-super-Mare
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dover(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Torquay(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chesham United(home)3-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Gloucester City(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Maidenhead win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Weston-super-Mare win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Maidenhead 1-2 Weston-super-MareNational League - South
Aug 23, 2025Weston-super-Mare 1-0 MaidenheadNational League - South
Oct 14, 2023Weston-super-Mare 0-3 MaidenheadFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15
Weston-super-Mare1.20.975/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Weston-super-Mare4211837
14Maidenhead4121235

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare?
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Weston-super-Mare.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare played?
Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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