Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,776) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farnborough win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dorking Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 5-3 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Farnborough 2-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 2-2 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Farnborough 3-4 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Farnborough 2-2 Dorking Wanderers | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 5-2 Farnborough | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Farnborough on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsSalisbury
- Apr 24, 2027DovervsTruro City
- Apr 24, 2027MaidenheadvsWeston-super-Mare
- Apr 24, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsFarnham Town
- Apr 24, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsFolkestone Invicta
- Apr 24, 2027Chelmsford CityvsTorquay
- Apr 24, 2027Chesham UnitedvsMaidstone Utd
- Apr 24, 2027AFC TottonvsBraintree