Match

Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire

FarnboroughDorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,776) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Farnborough win36 %
Draw24 %
Dorking Wanderers win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farnborough win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Dorking Wanderers 5-3 FarnboroughNational League - South
Nov 8, 2025Farnborough 2-0 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Feb 22, 2025Dorking Wanderers 2-2 FarnboroughNational League - South
Nov 2, 2024Farnborough 3-4 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Jul 28, 2023Farnborough 2-2 Dorking WanderersFriendlies Clubs
Jul 9, 2022Dorking Wanderers 5-2 FarnboroughFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Farnborough on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Farnborough4211447
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers played?
Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?