Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chesham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maidstone Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chesham United 4-2 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 0-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Chesham United 2-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 2-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Chesham United 0-2 Maidstone Utd | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd played?
- Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsSalisbury
- Apr 24, 2027DovervsTruro City
- Apr 24, 2027MaidenheadvsWeston-super-Mare
- Apr 24, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsFarnham Town
- Apr 24, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsFolkestone Invicta
- Apr 24, 2027Chelmsford CityvsTorquay
- Apr 24, 2027AFC TottonvsBraintree
- Apr 24, 2027FarnboroughvsDorking Wanderers