Match

Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedMaidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,792).

Chesham United win34 %
Draw26 %
Maidstone Utd win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chesham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maidstone Utd win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Chesham United 4-2 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Oct 11, 2025Maidstone Utd 0-0 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Jan 18, 2025Chesham United 2-0 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Sep 21, 2024Maidstone Utd 2-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Nov 4, 2023Chesham United 0-2 Maidstone UtdFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd played?
Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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