Match

Dover vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverTruro City

The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Truro City?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Dover (1,759) and Truro City (1,782).

Dover win43 %
Draw26 %
Truro City win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Truro City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 16, 2024Truro City 1-0 DoverNational League - South
Jan 6, 2024Dover 0-2 Truro CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Dover on Apr 16, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.21.827/158/15
Truro City1.00.674/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Truro City3210407
10Dover4202886

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Truro City?
The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Truro City.
Where and when is Dover vs Truro City played?
Dover vs Truro City is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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