Dover vs Truro City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dover wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Truro City?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Dover (1,834) and Truro City (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Truro City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Truro City
4-3-3- 15L. Jephcott
- 25S. Donnellan
- 37Tom Tweedy
- 2Z. Bell
- 33T. Dean
- 23B. Starkie
- 26M. Kinsey-Wellings
- 20R. Law
- 4W. Dean
- 5T. Harrison
- 1D. Lavercombe
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Truro City have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 3-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cirencester Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dover wins, 0 draws, 2 Truro City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | Truro City 1-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Dover 0-2 Truro City | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Truro City | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Dover vs Truro City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Truro City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Truro City.
- Where and when is Dover vs Truro City played?
- Dover vs Truro City is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Apr 24, 2027AFC TottonvsBraintree
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