Chelsea vs Ajax: result 5-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
Full time
What was the result of Chelsea vs Ajax?
Chelsea won 5-1 on October 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′Marc GuiuChelsea
- 27′M. CaicedoChelsea
- 33′W. WeghorstAjax (pen.)
- 45′E. FernándezChelsea (pen.)
- 45′EstêvãoChelsea (pen.)
- 48′Tyrique GeorgeChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ajax have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Liverpool(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Benfica(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Brighton(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chelsea win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | Chelsea 4-4 Ajax | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 23, 2019 | Ajax 0-1 Chelsea | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 1.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ajax | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 6th in UEFA Champions League (16 points from 8 matches) and Ajax sit 32nd (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2025Barcelona6-1Olympiakos Piraeus
- Oct 21, 2025Kairat Almaty0-0Pafos
- Oct 21, 2025Bayer Leverkusen2-7Paris Saint Germain
- Oct 21, 2025FC Copenhagen2-4Borussia Dortmund
- Oct 21, 2025PSV Eindhoven6-2Napoli
- Oct 21, 2025Villarreal0-2Manchester City
- Oct 21, 2025Arsenal4-0Atletico Madrid
- Oct 21, 2025Newcastle3-0Benfica