Chelsea vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelsea vs Everton?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Chelsea (2,221) and Everton (2,160).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelsea vs Everton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelsea
3-4-3- 17M. Rogers
- 10C. Palmer
- 9João Pedro
- 7Pedro Neto
- 29Pep Chavarría
- 14J. Henderson
- 25M. Caicedo
- 6L. Colwill
- 5M. Lacroix
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 1E. Martínez
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Everton have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 6-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chelsea wins, 1 draw, 2 Everton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Everton 3-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Chelsea 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Chelsea 1-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Everton 0-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Chelsea 6-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Everton 2-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 2.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 6th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Everton sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Chelsea vs Everton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Everton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Everton.
- Where and when is Chelsea vs Everton played?
- Chelsea vs Everton is played on May 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stamford Bridge, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.