Sunderland vs Bournemouth: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bournemouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
On Elo ratings, Sunderland has 2,098 points and Bournemouth 2,205.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Bournemouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 27N. Sadiki
- 10N. Angulo
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 32T. Hume
- 22R. Roefs
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1- 9Evanilson
- 16M. Tavernier
- 37Rayan
- 12T. Adams
- 10R. Christie
- 7D. Brooks
- 5J. Hill
- 14António Silva
- 15A. Smith
- 3A. Truffert
- 1Đ. Petrović
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Bournemouth have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 4-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sunderland wins, 2 draws, 2 Bournemouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Sunderland 3-2 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Sunderland 0-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Bournemouth 1-2 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Sunderland 1-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bournemouth vs Sunderland on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bournemouth | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 17th in Premier League (4 points from 6 matches) and Bournemouth sit 18th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bournemouth.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Bournemouth played?
- Sunderland vs Bournemouth is played on May 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.