Chelsea vs Leeds: result 3-2 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on February 28, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
Full time
What was the result of Chelsea vs Leeds?
Chelsea won 3-2 on February 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′Mateo Joseph Fernández RegatilloLeeds
- 15′N. JacksonChelsea
- 37′M. MudrykChelsea
- 59′Mateo Joseph Fernández RegatilloLeeds
- 90′C. GallagherChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leeds have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Manchester City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Aston Villa(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Wolves(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | Leicester(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Plymouth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Swansea(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Rotherham(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Plymouth(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chelsea win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Leeds win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Chelsea 1-0 Leeds | Premier League |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Leeds 3-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| May 11, 2022 | Leeds 0-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Chelsea 3-2 Leeds | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Leeds 0-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Chelsea 3-1 Leeds | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 2.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Leeds | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy