Cheltenham vs Carlisle: result 3-2 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 26, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Cheltenham vs Carlisle?
Cheltenham won 3-2 on April 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 29′M. DennisCarlisle
- 33′J. ThomasCheltenham (pen.)
- 45′A. HayCheltenham
- 73′G. KellyCarlisle
- 90′G. MillerCheltenham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Carlisle have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Notts County(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Gillingham(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Crewe(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Doncaster(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Morecambe(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Port Vale(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Morecambe(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Newport County(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cheltenham win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham | League One |
| Apr 27, 2021 | Cheltenham 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Carlisle 1-2 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2020 | Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Cheltenham on Oct 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy