Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Grom Nowy Staw?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Grom Nowy Staw (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Grom Nowy Staw | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grom Nowy Staw | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Grom Nowy Staw?
- The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grom Nowy Staw.
- Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Grom Nowy Staw played?
- Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsLech Poznań II
- May 8, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsGedania Gdansk
- May 8, 2027KaliszvsLipno Stęszew
- May 8, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsNoteć Czarnków
- May 8, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsWda Świecie
- May 8, 2027LuzinovsKluczevia Stargard
- May 8, 2027Victoria WrześniavsUnia Swarzędz
- May 8, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsElana Toruń