Flota Świnoujście vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście
The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Wda Świecie?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Wda Świecie (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wda Świecie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście 0-3 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Wda Świecie 2-1 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 2-1 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Wda Świecie 0-1 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Wda Świecie on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Wda Świecie?
- The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Wda Świecie.
- Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Wda Świecie played?
- Flota Świnoujście vs Wda Świecie is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsGrom Nowy Staw
- May 8, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsLech Poznań II
- May 8, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsGedania Gdansk
- May 8, 2027KaliszvsLipno Stęszew
- May 8, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsNoteć Czarnków
- May 8, 2027LuzinovsKluczevia Stargard
- May 8, 2027Victoria WrześniavsUnia Swarzędz
- May 8, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsElana Toruń