Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk played?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard Szczeciński

Gedania Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk?

Stargard Szczeciński starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,669).

Stargard Szczeciński win50 %

Draw22 %

Gedania Gdansk win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gedania Gdansk have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gedania Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 23, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 2-1 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 3, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
May 25, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 3-1 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 4, 2023	Stargard Szczeciński 1-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 4, 2023	Stargard Szczeciński 1-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 6, 2022	Gedania Gdansk 2-5 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk on Nov 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Gedania Gdansk sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk played?: Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.