Bałtyk Koszalin vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin
The Footlab AI model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bałtyk Koszalin wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,359 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Noteć Czarnków?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Bałtyk Koszalin (1,631) and Noteć Czarnków (1,678).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Noteć Czarnków
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bałtyk Koszalin
Not enough data to predict the Bałtyk Koszalin lineup.
Noteć Czarnków
Not enough data to predict the Noteć Czarnków lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bałtyk Koszalin win, 0 draws, 0 Noteć Czarnków wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków 0-3 Bałtyk Koszalin | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Noteć Czarnków | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bałtyk Koszalin sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (21 points from 16 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
A question about Bałtyk Koszalin vs Noteć Czarnków?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Noteć Czarnków?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Noteć Czarnków.
- Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Noteć Czarnków played?
- Bałtyk Koszalin vs Noteć Czarnków is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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