Match

Kalisz vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz

KaliszLipno Stęszew

The Footlab AI model makes Kalisz the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kalisz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,359 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kalisz vs Lipno Stęszew?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,639) and Lipno Stęszew (1,614).

44%25%31%
Kalisz winDrawLipno Stęszew win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kalisz vs Lipno Stęszew

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kalisz

Not enough data to predict the Kalisz lineup.

Lipno Stęszew

Not enough data to predict the Lipno Stęszew lineup.

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kalisz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Luzino(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Polonia Środa(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Lipno Stęszew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Kalisz(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Kalisz wins, 0 draws, 1 Lipno Stęszew win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Lipno Stęszew 1-0 KaliszIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kalisz score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kalisz1.21.448/155/15
Lipno Stęszew1.32.0112/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kalisz sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (20 points from 16 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 16th (14 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Kalisz16484192120
16Lipno Stęszew164210203114

A question about Kalisz vs Lipno Stęszew?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Lipno Stęszew?
The Footlab AI model makes Kalisz the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew.
Where and when is Kalisz vs Lipno Stęszew played?
Kalisz vs Lipno Stęszew is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kalisz and Lipno Stęszew

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