Match

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz

Chemik BydgoszczLipno Stęszew

The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Lipno Stęszew (1,709).

Chemik Bydgoszcz win42 %
Draw25 %
Lipno Stęszew win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemik Bydgoszcz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Luzino(away)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Polonia Środa(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)3-3III Liga - Group 2
Lipno Stęszew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Środa(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Elana Toruń(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chemik Bydgoszcz2.21.8210/139/13
Lipno Stęszew1.31.747/159/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Chemik Bydgoszcz50327123
17Lipno Stęszew50145111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew?
The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lipno Stęszew.
Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew played?
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chemik Bydgoszcz and Lipno Stęszew

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