Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Lipno Stęszew (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew?
- The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lipno Stęszew.
- Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew played?
- Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lipno Stęszew is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsWda Świecie
- Apr 24, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsKluczevia Stargard
- Apr 24, 2027KaliszvsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 24, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Apr 24, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 24, 2027LuzinovsElana Toruń
- Apr 24, 2027Victoria WrześniavsGedania Gdansk
- Apr 24, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsUnia Swarzędz