Polonia Środa vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska
The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Wda Świecie?
Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Polonia Środa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wda Świecie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Wda Świecie 3-2 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Polonia Środa 5-1 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 30, 2025 | Polonia Środa 1-1 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Wda Świecie 2-0 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Wda Świecie vs Polonia Środa on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Środa | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Wda Świecie?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Wda Świecie.
- Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Wda Świecie played?
- Polonia Środa vs Wda Świecie is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsLipno Stęszew
- Apr 24, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsKluczevia Stargard
- Apr 24, 2027KaliszvsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 24, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Apr 24, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 24, 2027LuzinovsElana Toruń
- Apr 24, 2027Victoria WrześniavsGedania Gdansk
- Apr 24, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsUnia Swarzędz