Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?

Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew

Lipno Stęszew

Chemik Bydgoszcz

The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724).

Lipno Stęszew win38 %

Draw25 %

Chemik Bydgoszcz win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lipno Stęszew
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Chemik Bydgoszcz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lipno Stęszew	1.3	1.7	4	7/15	9/15
Chemik Bydgoszcz	2.2	1.8	2	10/13	9/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	5	0	3	2	7	12	3
17	Lipno Stęszew	5	0	1	4	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?: The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?: Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.