Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz
The Footlab AI model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stargard Szczeciński wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,707) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kalisz
Not enough data to predict the Kalisz lineup.
Stargard Szczeciński
Not enough data to predict the Stargard Szczeciński lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Kalisz wins, 0 draws, 1 Stargard Szczeciński win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński 5-0 Kalisz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Stargard Szczeciński 0-4 Kalisz | II Liga - East |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Kalisz 2-0 Stargard Szczeciński | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalisz score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Stargard Szczeciński | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalisz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (20 points from 16 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 7th (24 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 26 | 24 |
| 11 | Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński played?
- Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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