Where and when is Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński played?

Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz

Kalisz

Stargard Szczeciński

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,716) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).

Kalisz win34 %

Draw25 %

Stargard Szczeciński win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kalisz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026	Górnik Łęczna(away)	0-2	Cup

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kalisz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 6, 2021	Stargard Szczeciński 0-4 Kalisz	II Liga - East
Aug 29, 2020	Kalisz 2-0 Stargard Szczeciński	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz on Mar 6, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kalisz	0.9	1.7	3	7/15	7/15
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Kalisz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kalisz.
Where and when is Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński played?: Kalisz vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.