Lech Poznań II vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Lech Poznań II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lech Poznań II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard 1-0 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 2-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Lech Poznań II.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsLipno Stęszew
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsWda Świecie
- Apr 24, 2027KaliszvsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 24, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Apr 24, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 24, 2027LuzinovsElana Toruń
- Apr 24, 2027Victoria WrześniavsGedania Gdansk
- Apr 24, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsUnia Swarzędz