Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 23Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lokomotive Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Chemnitzer FC (1,991) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC 3-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 3, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lokomotive Leipzig.
- Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027FSV ZwickauvsRSV Eintracht
- Feb 28, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsLuckenwalde
- Feb 28, 2027BFC PreussenvsBFC Dynamo
- Feb 28, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsGreifswalder FC
- Feb 28, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsMagdeburg II
- Feb 28, 2027AltglienickevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Feb 28, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsErzgebirge Aue
- Feb 28, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsHallescher FC