Match

Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 23Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz

Chemnitzer FCLokomotive Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lokomotive Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Chemnitzer FC (1,991) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971).

Chemnitzer FC win44 %
Draw24 %
Lokomotive Leipzig win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemnitzer FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Hallescher FC(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026BFC Preussen(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin(away)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BFC Preussen(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 15, 2026Chemnitzer FC 3-0 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 27, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
May 3, 2025Chemnitzer FC 1-1 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 8, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 2, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC on Aug 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chemnitzer FC2.41.069/1512/15
Lokomotive Leipzig1.81.7211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Chemnitzer FC651015216
6Lokomotive Leipzig6312121110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lokomotive Leipzig.
Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chemnitzer FC and Lokomotive Leipzig

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