Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Luckenwalde played?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Luckenwalde is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 23Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

Luckenwalde

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Luckenwalde?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,784).

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win68 %

Draw19 %

Luckenwalde win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

Luckenwalde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)	0-5	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Luckenwalde win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde 0-5 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Dec 6, 2025	Luckenwalde 1-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2025	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-1 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
May 3, 2025	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-2 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Nov 10, 2024	Luckenwalde 1-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 27, 2024	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 5-2 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Aug 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.7	1.1	5	8/15	11/15
Luckenwalde	0.9	1.7	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	6	5	1	0	22	4	16
15	Luckenwalde	6	1	0	5	5	16	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Luckenwalde?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Luckenwalde played?: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Luckenwalde is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.