Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Chemnitzer FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Lokomotive Leipzig (1,983) and Chemnitzer FC (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC 3-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 3, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Chemnitzer FC.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC is played on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026Magdeburg IIvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Aug 25, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Aug 25, 2026BFC DynamovsBFC Preussen
- Aug 26, 2026RSV EintrachtvsFSV Zwickau
- Aug 26, 2026Greifswalder FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Aug 26, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHertha BSC II
- Aug 26, 2026Hallescher FCvsTasmania Berlin
- Aug 26, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsAltglienicke