Match

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig

Lokomotive LeipzigChemnitzer FC

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Chemnitzer FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Lokomotive Leipzig (1,983) and Chemnitzer FC (1,966).

Lokomotive Leipzig win43 %
Draw25 %
Chemnitzer FC win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lokomotive Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin(away)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BFC Preussen(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026Luckenwalde(away)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Chemnitzer FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Hallescher FC(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026BFC Preussen(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)4-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chemnitzer FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Chemnitzer FC 3-0 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 27, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
May 3, 2025Chemnitzer FC 1-1 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 8, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 2, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 15, 2023Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lokomotive Leipzig1.81.6311/1510/15
Chemnitzer FC2.31.159/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lokomotive Leipzig sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Chemnitzer FC541013213
4Lokomotive Leipzig531112910

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Chemnitzer FC.
Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC played?
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC is played on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lokomotive Leipzig and Chemnitzer FC

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