SV Babelsberg 03 vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 23Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs Greifswalder FC?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate SV Babelsberg 03 (1,863) and Greifswalder FC (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Greifswalder FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 27, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 2-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 21, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Greifswalder FC 1-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Greifswalder FC?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for SV Babelsberg 03.
- Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Greifswalder FC played?
- SV Babelsberg 03 vs Greifswalder FC is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027FSV ZwickauvsRSV Eintracht
- Feb 28, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Feb 28, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsLuckenwalde
- Feb 28, 2027BFC PreussenvsBFC Dynamo
- Feb 28, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsMagdeburg II
- Feb 28, 2027AltglienickevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Feb 28, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsErzgebirge Aue
- Feb 28, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsHallescher FC