Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Yunist, Chernihiv
The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Lokomotiv Kyiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chernihiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Chernihiv (1,648) and Lokomotiv Kyiv (1,716).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chernihiv
4-3-3- 12E. Kartushov
- 11A. Novikov
- 21D. Bezborodko
- 6Y. Shalfeev
- 15D. Bezgubchenko
- 33A. Porokhnya
- 20D. Fateev
- 23O. Zenchenko
- 26D. Azizov
- 2E. Galstyan
- 35M. Tatarenko
Lokomotiv Kyiv
4-3-3- 33S. Myakushko
- 10D. Golub
- 47I. Pushkutsa
- 90Petro Savchuk
- 27V. Tymenko
- 34D. Nagnoynyi
- 5Mykola Syrash
- 3R. Savchenko
- 19R. Tkachenko
- 32D. Romanenko
- 1R. Lyopka
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernihiv have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lokomotiv Kyiv have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-4 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chernihiv win, 2 draws, 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv 1-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-3 Chernihiv | Druha Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Chernihiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Kyiv | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Chernihiv on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chernihiv score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Kyiv score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernihiv | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernihiv sit 15th in Persha Liga (10 points from 12 matches) and Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 9th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 20 |
| 15 | Chernihiv | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 10 |
A question about Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Lokomotiv Kyiv.
- Where and when is Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv played?
- Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv is played on November 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Yunist, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.