Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Inhulets, Petrove
The Footlab AI model makes Inhulets the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Probiy Horodenka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inhulets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Inhulets (1,712) and Probiy Horodenka (1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inhulets
4-3-3- 78O. Evtushenko
- 11Y. Profatylo
- 52O. Zhadan
- 30D. Tuzenko
- 22Danylo Yanyuk
- 17T. Khussin
- 4V. Dubiley
- 5Y. Dankovskyi
- 8A. Benedyuk
- 3M. Dzyubin
- 24O. Slutskyi
Probiy Horodenka
4-3-3- 21M. Girnyi
- 19V. Napuda
- 30O. Lepskyi
- 98A. Fesenko
- 7A. Savitskyi
- 18A. Bliznichenko
- 16I. Guk
- 5V. Savchyn
- 2V. Radulskyi
- 95M. Lopyrenok
- 31Kyrylo Arkhypchuk
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 10:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inhulets have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Probiy Horodenka have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-4 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SK Poltava(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Inhulets wins, 2 draws, 0 Probiy Horodenka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka 2-2 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| May 3, 2026 | Inhulets 3-1 Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Probiy Horodenka 0-1 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Probiy Horodenka 2-2 Inhulets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inhulets score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Probiy Horodenka score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Probiy Horodenka | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inhulets sit 10th in Persha Liga (17 points from 13 matches) and Probiy Horodenka sit 15th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Inhulets | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 17 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 10 |
A question about Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inhulets the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Probiy Horodenka.
- Where and when is Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka played?
- Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Inhulets, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.