Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria played?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Fratria

The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Fratria. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,690) and Fratria (1,727).

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win38 %

Draw31 %

Fratria win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hebar 1918(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 17, 2026	CSKA Sofia II(home)	0-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Vihren(away)	1-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Beroe(home)	1-0	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)	1-1	Second League

Fratria
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Vihren(away)	2-2	Second League
Aug 14, 2026	Beroe(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)	2-0	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Rilski Sportist(home)	1-0	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Marek(home)	0-1	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fratria win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-2 Fratria	Second League
Jul 26, 2025	Fratria 2-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	Second League

Last archived meeting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1.0	0.9	5	6/15	3/15
Fratria	1.8	0.9	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Fratria	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
15	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	5	1	2	2	3	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria?: The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Fratria.
Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria played?: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Fratria is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.