Fratria vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs Ludogorets II?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Fratria (1,726) and Ludogorets II (1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Fratria win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ludogorets II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Ludogorets II 1-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Fratria 5-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Fratria 2-2 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Ludogorets II 2-0 Fratria | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Fratria on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Ludogorets II?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Ludogorets II.
- Where and when is Fratria vs Ludogorets II played?
- Fratria vs Ludogorets II is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsHebar 1918
- Apr 3, 2027NesebarvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Apr 3, 2027Spartak PlevenvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Apr 3, 2027MontanavsCSKA Sofia II
- Apr 3, 2027DobrudzhavsVihren
- Apr 3, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsMarek
- Apr 3, 2027Yantra 2019vsRilski Sportist
- Apr 3, 2027Sportist SvogevsBeroe