Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Iskar, Samokov
The Footlab AI model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rilski Sportist wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Rilski Sportist (1,587) and Nesebar (1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rilski Sportist
4-3-3- 9I. Dimitrov
- 10G. Bozhilov
- 94Y. Nenov
- 14E. Martinov
- 11M. Boychev
- 93I. Rusinov
- 33P. Chilikov
- 13G. Minkov
- 6E. Panov
- 4Pavel Todorov
- 12D. Petkov
Nesebar
4-3-3- 77S. Statev
- 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
- 11Daniel Cabanelas
- 8Viktor Kunev
- 22R. Ismailov
- 10V. Dotsev
- 14Dimitar Balinov
- 3D. Lastardzhiev
- 5P. Dimov
- 21S. Pergelov
- 13Martin Sheytanov
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rilski Sportist have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nesebar have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zagorets(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marek(away) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rodopa Smolyan(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Rilski Sportist wins, 0 draws, 1 Nesebar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nesebar 2-1 Rilski Sportist | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rilski Sportist score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rilski Sportist | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nesebar | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rilski Sportist sit 5th in Second League (19 points from 12 matches) and Nesebar sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rilski Sportist | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Nesebar.
- Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar played?
- Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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