Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar played?

Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Iskar, Samokov

Rilski Sportist

Nesebar

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,583).

Rilski Sportist win34 %

Draw29 %

Nesebar win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rilski Sportist have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rilski Sportist
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Montana(home)	2-1	Second League
Aug 15, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	1-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Spartak Pleven(home)	2-2	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Fratria(away)	0-1	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	Ludogorets II(home)	0-1	Second League

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rilski Sportist	1.0	1.2	2	7/15	6/15
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rilski Sportist sit 14th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
14	Rilski Sportist	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rilski Sportist.
Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar played?: Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.