Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven
The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Spartak Pleven (1,595) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Spartak Pleven win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Spartak Pleven 1-2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| May 2, 2024 | Spartak Pleven 1-2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Pleven sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spartak Pleven | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
- Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?
- Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.