Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rectory Meadow, Hanworth, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hanworth Villa (1,848) and Chertsey Town (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanworth Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hanworth Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Hanworth Villa 1-2 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Hanworth Villa 1-1 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Hanworth Villa | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Hanworth Villa 0-4 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Chertsey Town 1-1 Hanworth Villa | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Hanworth Villa 2-1 Chertsey Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town on Apr 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hanworth Villa sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (9 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town played?
- Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026BerkhamstedvsHanwell Town
- Aug 31, 2026Frome TownvsBath City
- Aug 31, 2026UxbridgevsWimborne Town
- Aug 31, 2026Basingstoke TownvsBracknell Town
- Aug 31, 2026Chichester CityvsHavant & Wville
- Aug 31, 2026SholingvsGosport Borough
- Aug 31, 2026Yate TownvsTaunton Town
- Aug 31, 2026Gloucester CityvsEvesham United