Bath City vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bath City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | Bath City 2-3 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Bath City vs Chertsey Town on Nov 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Chertsey Town played?
- Bath City vs Chertsey Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Havant & WvillevsEvesham United
- Dec 19, 2026Taunton TownvsChippenham Town
- Dec 19, 2026BerkhamstedvsMalvern Town
- Dec 19, 2026Frome TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 19, 2026Hanwell TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 19, 2026Gosport BoroughvsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 19, 2026Poole TownvsGloucester City
- Dec 19, 2026Wimborne TownvsSholing