Bath City vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab AI model makes Bath City the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bath City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Bath City (1,807) and Chertsey Town (1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bath City vs Chertsey Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bath City
Not enough data to predict the Bath City lineup.
Chertsey Town
Not enough data to predict the Chertsey Town lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chertsey Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sheppey United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bath City wins, 0 draws, 1 Chertsey Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | Bath City 2-3 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Bath City vs Chertsey Town on Nov 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (23 points from 12 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 9th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bath City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 23 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
A question about Bath City vs Chertsey Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bath City the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Chertsey Town played?
- Bath City vs Chertsey Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 19, 2026Hanwell TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 19, 2026Gosport BoroughvsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 19, 2026Poole TownvsGloucester City
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