Match

Chesham United vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedAFC Totton

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and AFC Totton (1,791).

Chesham United win58 %
Draw22 %
AFC Totton win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
AFC Totton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-3National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Billericay Town(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-0National League - South
Jul 11, 2026Sutton Utd(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Farnborough(home)1-6National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 AFC Totton win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2026Chesham United 1-2 AFC TottonNational League - South
Sep 2, 2025AFC Totton 1-1 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Mar 16, 2024Chesham United 2-0 AFC TottonNon League Premier - Southern South
Dec 2, 2023AFC Totton 2-2 Chesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs AFC Totton on Mar 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15
AFC Totton1.21.929/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11AFC Totton3201236
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs AFC Totton?
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for AFC Totton.
Where and when is Chesham United vs AFC Totton played?
Chesham United vs AFC Totton is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesham United and AFC Totton

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