Ebbsfleet United vs Farnborough: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Farnborough?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,817) and Farnborough (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Farnborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Farnborough 1-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Farnborough 2-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Ebbsfleet United 4-2 Farnborough | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Farnborough on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Farnborough?
- The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Farnborough played?
- Ebbsfleet United vs Farnborough is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 27, 2027BraintreevsDover
- Feb 27, 2027MaidenheadvsChelmsford City
- Feb 27, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsTorquay
- Feb 27, 2027Weston-super-MarevsHemel Hempstead Town
- Feb 27, 2027Chesham UnitedvsAFC Totton
- Feb 27, 2027Folkestone InvictavsSlough Town
- Feb 27, 2027SalisburyvsMaidstone Utd