AFC Totton vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Snows Stadium, Totton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Totton vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate AFC Totton (1,791) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Totton have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 AFC Totton win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 4-0 AFC Totton | National League - South |
| Nov 8, 2025 | AFC Totton 0-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Totton vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is AFC Totton vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- AFC Totton vs Ebbsfleet United is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Snows Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Maidstone UtdvsDorking Wanderers
- Mar 6, 2027TorquayvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Mar 6, 2027DovervsWeston-super-Mare
- Mar 6, 2027Billericay TownvsFarnham Town
- Mar 6, 2027Slough TownvsHampton & Richmond
- Mar 6, 2027Chelmsford CityvsFolkestone Invicta
- Mar 6, 2027Truro CityvsTonbridge Angels
- Mar 6, 2027FarnboroughvsMaidenhead