Match

Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedDorking Wanderers

The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Dorking Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,659).

27%21%52%
Chesham United winDrawDorking Wanderers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chesham United

Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.

Dorking Wanderers

Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Ebbsfleet United(away)0-1National League - South
Oct 31, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)2-2National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Farnham Town(home)2-4National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Oct 20, 2026Forest Green(away)0-5FA Cup
Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)3-2National League - South
Oct 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)2-0National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)3-3National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Slough Town(away)3-1National League - South
Oct 17, 2026Dover(away)2-3FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chesham United win, 1 draw, 2 Dorking Wanderers wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Nov 29, 2025Chesham United 2-1 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Apr 26, 2025Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Dec 21, 2024Chesham United 0-5 Dorking WanderersNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.82.428/1512/15
Dorking Wanderers2.61.9312/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 21st in National League - South (11 points from 15 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 6th (27 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Dorking Wanderers15762342327
21Chesham United153210203311

A question about Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers?
The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers played?
Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chesham United and Dorking Wanderers

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