Where and when is Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers played?

Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham United

Dorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Chesham United win45 %

Draw25 %

Dorking Wanderers win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Dorking Wanderers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidstone Utd(home)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Totton(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(home)	0-1	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Chesham United	National League - South
Nov 29, 2025	Chesham United 2-1 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Apr 26, 2025	Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Chesham United	National League - South
Dec 21, 2024	Chesham United 0-5 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15
Dorking Wanderers	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers?: The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers played?: Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.