Match

Chesham United vs Braintree: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedBraintree

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Braintree?

Chesham United starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,636).

Chesham United win61 %
Draw22 %
Braintree win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Braintree win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Braintree 3-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Oct 17, 2023Chesham United 3-1 BraintreeFA Cup
Oct 14, 2023Braintree 0-0 Chesham UnitedFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Chesham United on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Chesham United4103473
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Braintree?
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Braintree.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Braintree played?
Chesham United vs Braintree is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesham United and Braintree

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