Chester vs Southport: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 41Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Southport. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,324 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Southport?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,672).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chester vs Southport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Southport have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-5 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chester wins, 2 draws, 2 Southport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chester 1-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Southport 2-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Southport 0-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Chester 0-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Chester 0-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Southport 0-2 Chester | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Southport | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 8th in National League - North (26 points from 15 matches) and Southport sit 23rd (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 26 |
| 23 | Southport | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 10 |
A question about Chester vs Southport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Southport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Southport.
- Where and when is Chester vs Southport played?
- Chester vs Southport is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.