Hereford vs Oxford City: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 41Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire
The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hereford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hereford vs Oxford City?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Hereford (1,830) and Oxford City (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Oxford City have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Hereford win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Oxford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Hereford 1-2 Oxford City | National League - North |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Oxford City 3-0 Hereford | National League - North |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Oxford City 1-2 Hereford | National League - North |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Hereford 0-2 Oxford City | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Oxford City 1-2 Hereford | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Hereford vs Oxford City on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Oxford City | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hereford sit 6th in National League - North (9 points from 4 matches) and Oxford City sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oxford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Hereford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Oxford City?
- The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hereford.
- Where and when is Hereford vs Oxford City played?
- Hereford vs Oxford City is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.