Radcliffe vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 41Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Neuven Stadium, Radcliffe, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radcliffe vs Buxton?
Buxton starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radcliffe have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Radcliffe win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Buxton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Radcliffe 1-5 Buxton | National League - North |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Buxton 2-1 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Buxton 0-1 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Radcliffe 0-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Buxton 3-0 Radcliffe | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Radcliffe 2-3 Buxton | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radcliffe sit 21st in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radcliffe vs Buxton?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Radcliffe vs Buxton played?
- Radcliffe vs Buxton is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Neuven Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.